Risk and Distributional Inequality.

Abstract

A distributional model of risk is described in which it is hypothesized that people's judgments of risk are similar to the kinds of judgments made in welfare economics concerning inequality of income distributions. The role played by the Lorenz curve in analyzing inequality is described and it is shown how Lorenz curves can be used to describe risks. Two hypotheses are presented concerning risk: first, that representing risks with Lorenz curves will be useful in capturing the salient psychological features of risk, and second, that people's judgments of positive risks will be similar functionally to judgments of distributional inequality. Six experiments are presented that support the distributional model of risk for both preference judgments and judgments of riskiness. The implications of these experiments are described and the distributional model is compared with alternative models of risk.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Mar 01, 1984
Accession Number
ADA140373

Entities

People

  • L. L. Lopes

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical
  • C4I
  • Human Systems
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Applied Psychology
  • Behavioral Sciences
  • Biological Sciences
  • Human Factors Engineering
  • Information Processing
  • Information Science
  • Military Research
  • Navy
  • Probability
  • Psychology
  • Risk Analysis
  • Statistical Analysis
  • Statistics
  • Students
  • Systems Engineering
  • Training
  • West Germany

Fields of Study

  • Psychology

Readers

  • Military History of the United States in the 20th Century.
  • Statistical inference.
  • Team-Based Human-Centered Cognitive Task Decision Making and Information Performance.