Low-Level Stratus Prediction Using Binary Statistical Regression: A Progress Report Using Moffett Field Data.
Abstract
Various statistical models and techniques were employed to forecast the existence of low-level stratus conditions. They are illustrated for data at a single station (Moffett Field, Sunnyvale, California) using single-station surface meteorological measurements only as explanatory variables. A preliminary exploratory data analysis shows that low (right) dew point depression is associated with the existence (non-existence) of low-level stratus at Moffett Field. Procedures for and results of various methods of fitting logistic models to the data are described. The fitted models were used to forecast stratus on reserved data sets (cross-validation). Results of the cross-validation are given. (Author)
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Dec 01, 1983
- Accession Number
- ADA140468
Entities
People
- Donald P. Gaver
- P. A. Jacobs
Organizations
- Naval Postgraduate School