Statistical Tropical Cyclone Forecasting Techniques for the Southern Hemisphere.

Abstract

Statistical models for forecasting Southern Hemisphere tropical cyclones were adapted, developed and tested for use by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center, Guam. On the limited sample, it was apparent that the Australian aids used in the evaluation were able to provide better forecasts than the JTWC aids. Operational trials of the Australian aids for at least two Southern Hemisphere tropical cyclone seasons are recommended. This report is divided into two parts, each with its own summary and conclusions: Part 1, Evaluation of Several Australian Statistical Tropical Cyclone Forecasting Techniques for Use at Joint Typhoon Warning Center; and Part 2, Development and Testing of New Statistical Forecasting Techniques for the Southern Hemisphere. (Author)

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jun 01, 1984
Accession Number
ADA144752

Entities

People

  • T. D. Keenan

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Atmospheric Sciences
  • Computer Programs
  • Coordinate Systems
  • Data Science
  • Data Sets
  • Databases
  • Discriminant Analysis
  • Equations
  • Grids
  • Information Science
  • Knowledge Management
  • Meteorology
  • Regression Analysis
  • Research Facilities
  • Southern Hemisphere
  • Statistical Analysis
  • Tropical Cyclones

Fields of Study

  • Environmental science

Readers

  • Aerospace Test and Evaluation
  • Atmospheric Science/Meteorology