Construction of Approximate Confidence Intervals for Probability-of-Kill via the Bootstrap

Abstract

The bootstrap, a computer-intensive procedure for data analysis, was applied to an estimation problem to enable a statement to be made about the variability inherent in a probability-of-kill estimate P sub k. The bootstrap was applied to a stratified sample rather than a simple random sample and its performance evaluated in this framework, first in an abstract situation where the parameter P sub k was known and then in three situations where the parameter P sub k was unknown, but an estimate provide by current vulnerability analysis procedures was available. The investigation was carried out for several grid sizes, or alternatively, for several levels of detail, to study the effect of grid size on the estimation of P sub k and the reliability of the confidence intervals constructed.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jul 01, 1984
Accession Number
ADA144761

Entities

People

  • Barry A. Bodt
  • Malcolm S. Taylor

Organizations

  • Ballistic Research Laboratory

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Human Systems
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Armored Personnel Carriers
  • Army
  • Commerce
  • Computations
  • Construction
  • Coverings
  • Data Analysis
  • Errors
  • Estimators
  • Information Science
  • Intervals
  • Probability
  • Probability Distributions
  • Sampling
  • Statistical Samples
  • United States
  • Vulnerability

Fields of Study

  • Mathematics

Readers

  • Adaptive Control and Estimation with Uncertainty in Dynamic Systems.
  • Computer Science.
  • Geodesy