The Prediction of Training Device Effectiveness: A Review of Army Models

Abstract

This report is a critical review of the analytic models which have been developed by the Army to predict training device effectiveness. In particular, special consideration is given to a family of models known collectively as TRAINVICE. Although they are all intended to provide an index of transfer potential, these four models differ in several important ways. The variables considered in the calculation of the indices are given different degrees of emphasis (or weight) in each model. In fact, in some cases a variable is ignored completely; e.g., the instructional features of a training device. The preparatory analyses employed to estimate the values of each variable change a great deal from model to model. Moreover, the combinatorial procedures used to calculate an index of effectiveness from the variable values are very different in each model. A major goal of this report is to present the principle points of difference among the various predictive models, and thus facilitate a comparative assessment of their merit. The results of the analysis and subsequent validation will provide a basis for the selection/refinement of one or more of the models for incorporation into a defined set of procedures for specifying training device effectiveness.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Apr 01, 1982
Accession Number
ADA146937

Entities

People

  • Daniel R. Tufano
  • Robert A. Evans

Organizations

  • U.S. Army Research Institute for the Behavioral and Social Sciences

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Ground and Sea Platforms
  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Acquisition
  • Classification
  • Commonality
  • Figure Of Merit
  • Military Research
  • Military Training
  • Naval Training
  • Plastic Explosives
  • Predictive Modeling
  • Ratings
  • Reliability
  • Simulations
  • Simulators
  • Social Sciences
  • Specifications
  • Test And Evaluation
  • Trainees

Readers

  • Instructional Design and Training Evaluation.
  • Regression Analysis.
  • Theoretical Analysis.