Pari-Mutuel as a System of Aggregation of Information.

Abstract

A bettor is faced with the problem of choosing optimal bets, given his (subjective) probabilities of outcomes of an experiment and the payoff odds on these outcomes. Conversely, a bookie (pari-mutuel system), faced by several bettors with different subjective probabilities, has the problem of choosing payoff odds so as to avoid the risk of loss. It is shown that, under certain reasonably broad conditions on the several bettors' utilities and subjective probabilities, such an equilibrium set of payoff odds always exists. Some examples are worked out in detail.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Oct 01, 1984
Accession Number
ADA147210

Entities

People

  • G. Owen

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • C4I

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Boundaries
  • California
  • Continuity
  • Discontinuities
  • Equations
  • Governments
  • Inequalities
  • Intact Stability
  • Mathematics
  • Military Research
  • Point Theorem
  • Probability
  • Probability Distributions
  • Security

Fields of Study

  • Economics

Readers

  • Economics
  • Military/Explosive Ordnance Disposal (EOD) Technology
  • Regression Analysis.