A Scheme for Short-Term Prediction of Hydrometeors Using Advection and Physical Forcing.

Abstract

We have developed a number of schemes which show skills varying from modest to impressive, depending upon the weather regime. These schemes are interactive, and their successful implementation requires a man-machine mix. The approaches taken in this research project have primarily focused upon the developmental or evolving, i.e. non-steady-state aspects of the problem of short-term forecasting of cloudiness and precipitation. Most of our schemes have incoporated a translational contribution either explicitly or implicitly, however. The approaches taken in this research project have addressed the problem of cloudiness and precipitation forecasting on meso-alpha and larger scales. The approaches, by virtue of treating the developmental aspects of the short-term forecasting problem, have inherently bypassed the problem of persistence or persistence climatology being such a hard 'forecast' to beat.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jul 01, 1984
Accession Number
ADA148011

Entities

People

  • E. Araujo
  • G. S. Forbes
  • J. J. Cahir
  • P. O. G. Heppner
  • W. D. Lottes

Organizations

  • Pennsylvania State University

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Space

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Air Force
  • Boundary Layer
  • Climate Change
  • Cloud Physics
  • Computer Graphics
  • Computer Programs
  • Computers
  • Convection
  • Diurnal Variations
  • Environment
  • Equations
  • Great Lakes
  • Humidity
  • Meteorology
  • Satellite Imaging
  • United States
  • Weather Forecasting

Fields of Study

  • Environmental science

Readers

  • Atmospheric Science/Meteorology
  • Combustion and Flow Dynamics.
  • Theoretical Analysis.