A Decision Support Methodology for Space Technology Advocacy.
Abstract
In this thesis a decision support methodology for space technology advocacy was developed. Decision models inadequately address the risk and uncertainty inherent in R&D. A decision support methodology was developed that would assist the Air Force space technology advocate to determine the strategic and technical utility of space technology issues. Model criteria were developed that could be used in a worth assessment of space technology issues. Using these criteria the decision maker can focus on the strategic appreciation of the technology issues and their relative worth to military space strategy and doctrine and military space technology. A description was presented of the information requirements and the analytical tool (the Analytic Hierarchy Process) which could be used by the decision maker, with the appropriate user interface, to apply the criteria in a worth assessment of space technology issues. The results of testing the validity, adequacy, and suitability of the proposed methodology are presented. The criteria was applied to sets of space technology issues within the context of the Analytical Hierarchy process. Results indicate that the proposed methodology provides a firm foundation for development of a microcomputer-based decision support system. Included is an extensive bibliography of mathematical models pertaining to R&D project selection. Keywords include: Decision making; Operations Research; Research Management; Military Research; Technology Forecasting; Space Technology; Analytic Hierarchy Process; Decision Support; Doctrine.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Dec 01, 1984
- Accession Number
- ADA151895
Entities
People
- P. H. Rensema
- R. W. Chapman
Organizations
- Air Force Institute of Technology