A Preliminary Analysis of Course Loading Prediction Errors.

Abstract

The course loading forecasts for the Operations Research Department published by the Naval Postgraduate School Programming Office are investigated for measures of predictive accuracy by course and curricula. Both course and curricula forecasts are categorized as problem causing, reasonably accurate, or in defined due to limited information. The paucity of the data precludes the use of sophisticated statistical techniques to identify any permanence in effects thereby limiting results to indications of predictive performance. A management aid is developed consisting of a data base and manipulative APL programs for the purposes of updating and displaying current information while identifying possible synergistic interactions between data subcategories. Appendix A contains the Users Guide for this management aid. These results can be applied to the current forecast to aid the department chairman in creating the faculty teaching schedule. Additional keywords: Thesis, Scheduling, Mathematical prediction, and Expected student demand for courses. (Author)

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Sep 01, 1984
Accession Number
ADA152133

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  • C. C. Madsen

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  • Naval Postgraduate School

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