An Analysis of Youth Labor Force Transition Probabilities

Abstract

Many of the enlisted supply research to date focuses on the transition of individuals from high school to the military. Little is known of those who have chosen other options, such as further education, employment, or to remain out of the labor force completely. With the decline of the 17-21 year old male population, research must be directed towards the entire labor market. This thesis uses data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth to estimate the transition probabilities among seven possible states for individuals aged 17-22. The states are high school, college, active service, employment full time, employment part time, unemployment, and out of the labor force. Tests are made to determine if the transition probabilities are stable across and independent of time. It was found that the system was generally stable across time but was not independent of age and labor force industry. Additional keywords: Markov processes; recruiting; enlisted personnel; civilian personnel.

Open PDF

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Dec 01, 1984
Accession Number
ADA153763

Entities

People

  • D. W. Harris

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical
  • C4I
  • Human Systems
  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Business Administration
  • Data Analysis
  • Databases
  • Education
  • Employment
  • Enlisted Personnel
  • Labor Markets
  • Management Personnel
  • Manpower
  • Organizational Structure
  • Plastic Explosives
  • Probability
  • Recruiting
  • Schools
  • Statistical Analysis
  • United States
  • Universities

Fields of Study

  • Education

Readers

  • Economics
  • Naval Personnel Management
  • Regression Analysis.