Medium Range Atmospheric Forecast System: Evaluation Report.

Abstract

The Navy has little experience in evaluating the usefulness of numerical environmental predictions prepared for periods greater than 3 days. Recognizing this, the Naval Environmental Prediction Research Facility (NEPRF) embarked in 1983 in a project to develop a procedure which could establish the relevant accuracy and operational utility of a medium-range (5 to 10 day) atmospheric forecast system. The results of a comprehensive evaluation of the accuracy and utility--with respect to operational Navy applications--of medium range (5-7 day) atmospheric forecast system are presented. Several nonstandard, but operationally relevant, objective measures of forecast model skill are employed, along with more traditional measures. Keywords: Numerical weather prediction, Medium range forecast, and Forecast verification.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Feb 01, 1985
Accession Number
ADA155240

Entities

People

  • H. D. Hamilton
  • P. A. Petit
  • R. L. Elsberry

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Cyber
  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Space

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Cloud Cover
  • Computer Programs
  • Computers
  • Contractors
  • Contracts
  • False Alarms
  • Grids
  • Identification Systems
  • Meteorology
  • Research Facilities
  • Security
  • Southern Hemisphere
  • Standards
  • Stations
  • Statistics
  • Weather Forecasting
  • Wind Direction

Fields of Study

  • Environmental science

Readers

  • Atmospheric Science/Meteorology
  • Systems Analysis and Design