Estimation of F-15 Peacetime Maintenance Manpower Requirements Using the Logistics Composite Model.
Abstract
Estimates of the maintenance manpower requirements of a planned F-15 Tactical Fighter Training Wing operating in a peacetime environment were requested by Tactical Air Command. The Logistics Composite Model (LCOM), a computer simulation, was used in conjunction with the Moody Regression and Moody Manpower programs to estimate these requirements. A more efficient method, using statistical tests of hypothesis, was developed for determining steady state in the simulation model. Using this method, steady state conditions were found to exist, in most cases, at the end of the first simulated day. An estimate was made of the autocorrelation present in each set of simulation output data. Then, correcting for this autocorrelation, statistical confidence intervals were constructed for the manpower estimates. By simulating at various levels of flying activity and with various constraints on resource availability, manpower requirements were found to be relatively insensitive to these constraints at low sortie rates and more sensitive at higher sortie rates. The authors suggest that the construction of statistical confidence intervals and the methodology developed in this study for determining steady state should be given serious consideration in future LCOM manpower studies. Keywords include: Model; Manpower; Estimate; Simulation; Autocorrelation.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Dec 01, 1976
- Accession Number
- ADA156540
Entities
People
- D. M. Douglas
- G. Degovanni
Organizations
- Air Force Institute of Technology