A New Hazard Function Estimator of Performance Time

Abstract

The analysis of performance time is used to study a wide variety of manpower, training, and human factors problems in the Navy. The cumulative distribution of performance time provides some indication of the rate of performance, but it can lead to false conclusions as well. One method of measuring the rate of performance with a shifting residual basis of analysis, called hazard analysis, consists of estimating a hazard function, which shows the rate of performance as a function of time. Although various procedures have been developed for estimating a hazard function, none of the procedures has been shown to produce plausibly smooth and precise estimates under a variety of conditions. This research proposed a constrained quadratic spline as an estimator or the hazard function of performance time. A maximum penalized likelihood procedure was used to fit the estimator to a sample of psychological response times. The procedure was also used in a simulation study of the precision of the estimator. Keywords: Human performance; Performance time; Hazard function.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Nov 01, 1984
Accession Number
ADA157843

Entities

People

  • Bruce Bloxom

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Algorithms
  • California
  • Computations
  • Computer Programs
  • Distribution Functions
  • Estimators
  • Manpower
  • Military Personnel
  • Military Research
  • Motor Skills
  • Order Statistics
  • Precision
  • Reliability
  • Simulations
  • Statistics
  • Stochastic Processes
  • Training

Readers

  • Approximation Theory.
  • Psychometric Testing or Psychological Assessment.
  • Regression Analysis.