An Analysis of Government Contract Terminations.

Abstract

The purpose of this thesis is to investigate if the Federal Government could realize cost savings through an analysis of contracts that have been terminated. A sampling of contracts from various Federal Government agencies was gathered and divided into two categories: terminations for financial reasons and terminations for non-financial reasons. Terminations for financial reasons were analyzed with a bankruptcy prediction model, while a qualitative analysis was performed on terminations for non-financial reasons. From the bankruptcy prediction model analysis, it was apparent that the model was only somewhat useful as a predictor of termination for default. It was shown from the qualitative analysis that the Federal Government was predominantly at fault in terminations for convenience (95% of the analysis sample) and that 66% of the terminations for convenience in the sample were for reasons that the Federal Government could have controlled. Key words: Termination for Default; Termination for Convenience; Altman's Z-Score; Termination Prediction.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jun 01, 1985
Accession Number
ADA159045

Entities

People

  • J. R. Duke Jr
  • T. W. Hughes

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Human Systems
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Accounting
  • Accuracy
  • Bankruptcy
  • Business Administration
  • Classification
  • Contract Administration
  • Contracts
  • Databases
  • Department Of Defense
  • Discriminant Analysis
  • Finance
  • Governments
  • Inventory
  • Money
  • Procurement
  • Small Business
  • United States

Readers

  • Applied Combinatorial Optimization and Logic Circuit Design.
  • Government and Public Administration Law.
  • Regression Analysis.