The Soviet Style of Surprise

Abstract

This thesis examines the nature and scope of surprise and its uses in modern warfare using historical data, computer-aided analysis, and three case studies (Manchuria, Czechoslovakia, Afghanistan). From the data analysis, this thesis develops a Soviet 'style' of surprise. Additionally, the analysis indicated that with a relatively small number of deceptive uses the probability of a successful surprise attack is very high even if the uses are detected and a warning is sounded. This thesis ends by making several recommendations on how the effects of a surprise attack may be reduced if not eliminated.

Open PDF

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jun 01, 1985
Accession Number
ADA159588

Entities

People

  • Wayne J. Rowe

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical
  • C4I
  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Space
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Case Studies
  • Communist Countries
  • Contingency Operations (Military)
  • Data Analysis
  • Databases
  • Eastern Europe
  • Far East
  • Intergovernmental Organizations
  • International Organizations
  • International Relations
  • Military Organizations
  • National Politics
  • National Security
  • Recreation
  • Second World War
  • Treaties
  • United States

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Military History / Militaries and War Studies