Risk Assessment Preprocessor (RAPP),

Abstract

The Navy's Office for Acquisition Research tasked Administrative Sciences Corporation to develop 'a management oriented procedure to simplify the selection of the most appropriate risk assessment technique(s) so that project managers will use them to improve management of their programs.' Under this tasking the different techniques available for risk assessment were examined and it was concluded that network simulation is both cost effective and feasible for use in almost all acquisition programs. As a result of a critical review of the existing procedures and available software packages, it was concluded that 'front-end' help in getting started was necessary - specifically, assistance in network creation and data preparation and input. The Risk Assessment Preprocessor (RAPP) was created to provide this help. RAPP is a computer-based procedure for simplifying the process of creating networks and preparing the data for use with a network simulator. RAPP is interactive, easy to use software which will help the user create a network of program activities and input distribution parameters. It does not actually do the risk assessment. RAPP's output is a data file which is input to one of the several currently available network simulators. It is a tool that makes risk assessment using Monte Carlo simulation easier and less expensive because it reduces the need for senior analysts to structure the network and prepare the data file for input to a risk assessment package. RAPP allows risk assessment to be used more easily as a tool for project management.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jan 01, 1985
Accession Number
ADA161914

Entities

People

  • Colin Hammon
  • Joseph Augusta
  • Susan Fitzgerald

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Human Systems
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Acquisition
  • Business Administration
  • Computer Graphics
  • Computers
  • Databases
  • Information Processing
  • Information Science
  • Information Systems
  • Monte Carlo Method
  • Network Simulation
  • Probability
  • Probability Distributions
  • Program Management
  • Risk
  • Risk Analysis
  • Simulations
  • Simulators

Readers

  • Computer Science.
  • Defense Acquisition Program Management
  • Space Exploration and Orbital Mechanics.