Application of Life Distributions to Estimate Equipment Losses in Combat

Abstract

Combat active replacement factors, or CARFs, are logistics planning factors currently used by the U. S. military as estimates of equipment losses in future conflicts. This thesis employs mean-time-to-loss (MTTL) estimates for various equipment types, and several scenario-oriented models are given for mapping these values into CARFs. The CARF generation model can be applied for the exponential life distribution or other types of life distributions such as Weibull or gamma, or a nonhomogeneous Poisson process. CARF values for several kinds of scenarios for combat losses were investigated using the loss processes for a specific life distribution. Computational results are provided.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Dec 01, 1985
Accession Number
ADA164721

Entities

People

  • Hee S. Song

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • California
  • Classification
  • Demographic Cohorts
  • Intensity
  • Logistics
  • Logistics Planning
  • Marine Corps
  • Operations Research
  • Probability
  • Probability Distributions
  • Random Variables
  • Second World War
  • Security
  • Survival
  • Technical Information Centers
  • War Games
  • Warfare

Readers

  • Aviation Safety Risk Assessment.
  • Statistical inference.
  • Systems Analysis and Design

Technology Areas

  • AI & ML
  • AI & ML - Bayesian Inference