Central America: Prospects for Direct U.S. Military Intervention.
Abstract
Central American history is analyzed to identify trends that may cause direct U.S. military intervention. While the focus is on Central America, the role of the Soviets and Cubans dictates a broader perspective to include at times the Caribbean and South America. This analysis does not delve into possible political and economic solutions for the region, assuming instead an extension of existing trends. Several tendencies emerge. The Soviets Cubans, and Sandinistas will continue to exploit the region's problems by supporting existing revolutionary forces and by exporting revolutionary forces from their own countries. The opportunities for exploitation will continue to be available, in part because much of the political instability is caused by a culture that has evolved over 400 years and cannot be changed overnight. Communist forces in the region will continue their arms buildup, giving them the means to continue their troublemaking while putting the Caribbean flank of NATO at risk. Given an increasing Soviet/Cuban/Nicaraguan threat, friendly governments in Central American will eventually request U.S. combat support; the people may well approve, especially if directly affected. The analysis concludes by recommending an increased U.S. land and naval presence in the region, together with strong political pressure on the Soviets. (Author)
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- May 28, 1985
- Accession Number
- ADA168854
Entities
People
- Johnnie L. Vaught
Organizations
- Naval War College