A New Methodology for Modeling National Command Level Decisionmaking in War Games and Simulations.

Abstract

This report describes and illustrates a methodology for modeling National Command Level (NCL) decisionmaking in large-scale crisis and conflict involving both superpowers--a methodology that progresses from abstract concepts about superpower objectives and strategy through the step-by-step procedures for building an operational computer program. Its two key components are defining an 'image' of Soviet or U.S. decisionmaking, and moving from that imprecise image to a precise and coherent computer program. The report's sections outline the modeling approach; review the most important concepts underlying the approach: describe the systematic definition of alternative coherent images of the Soviet or U.S. NCL; describe building an operational computer program that is both transparent and able to explain its own decisions; and discuss initial experiences using prototype versions of the computer models. (Author)

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jul 01, 1986
Accession Number
ADA170952

Entities

People

  • James P. Kahan
  • Paul K. Davis
  • Steven C. Bankes

Organizations

  • RAND Corporation

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • C4I
  • Counter WMD
  • Ground and Sea Platforms
  • Human Systems
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Attrition
  • Cognitive Science
  • Computer Languages
  • Computer Programming
  • Computer Programs
  • Computers
  • Game Theory
  • Human Behavior
  • Mathematical Models
  • Military Organizations
  • National Security
  • Programming Languages
  • Psychology
  • War Games
  • Warfare
  • Warning Systems

Readers

  • Computer Science.
  • East Asian Political and Security Studies within the Soviet Union
  • Systems Analysis and Design