Bayesian Analyses of Nonhomogeneous Autoregressive Processes

Abstract

This paper considers nonhomogeneous autoregressive processes which are special cases of the vector-valued autoregressive processes considered by Anderson (1978) for the analysis of panel survey data. The authors point out that, for a nonhomogeneous autoregressive process of order higher than one, the least-squares estimates cannot be obtained unless repeated measurements are made on the time series. Presented are two Bayesian approaches based on Kalman filter models which alleviate the above difficulty and result in an alternative strategy for the analyses of nonhomogeneous autoregressive processes. In the first approach the notion of exchangeability plays a key role, whereas for the second approach, which results in an adaptive Kalman filter model, an approximation due to Lindley facilitates the necessary computations for inference.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Sep 01, 1986
Accession Number
ADA175725

Entities

People

  • Nozer D. Singpurwalla
  • Refik Soyer
  • Theodore W. Anderson

Organizations

  • Stanford University

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Algorithms
  • Bayesian Networks
  • Coefficients
  • Computer Science
  • Covariance
  • Estimators
  • Filters
  • Filtration
  • Kalman Filters
  • Mathematical Filters
  • Military Research
  • Normal Distribution
  • Operations Research
  • Sequences
  • Statistical Inference
  • Statistics
  • Surveys

Fields of Study

  • Mathematics

Readers

  • Adaptive Control and Estimation with Uncertainty in Dynamic Systems.
  • Statistical inference.

Technology Areas

  • AI & ML
  • AI & ML - Bayesian Inference
  • AI & ML - Machine Learning Algorithms