Forecasting the Wages of Young Men: The Effects of Cohort Size.

Abstract

The post-war baby boom and the baby bust that followed have produced dramatic changes in both the size and in the age composition of the labor force. These demographic changes have been accompanied by changes in the age structure of civilian wages. The evidence suggests that as members of the baby boom cohorts entered the labor market in the 1960's and 1970's, their wages fell in comparison with the wages of prime age workers. The question addressed in this study is how the wage structure will change as the demographic trend reverses itself and as smaller birth cohorts enter the labor market in the 1980's and 1990's. Keywords: Youth population, Projections, Compensation, Manpower.

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Feb 01, 1985
Accession Number
ADA176647

Entities

People

  • Hong W. Tan
  • Michael P Ward

Organizations

  • RAND Corporation

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Compensation
  • Delphi Method
  • Labor
  • Labor Markets
  • Manpower

Fields of Study

  • Economics

Readers

  • Economics
  • Naval Personnel Management