Tropical Cyclone Ship Avoidance Program (TCSAP) for the Western North Pacific Ocean.

Abstract

The Tropical Cyclone Ship Avoidance Program (TCSAP), which is designed to replace the Pacific Fleet's tropical cyclone danger area avoidance instruction, is described. The Pacific Fleet danger area was tested on 1982 tropical cyclone forecasts, and summary results of these tests are given. The effect of a pending change in the Pacific Fleet allowance of 136 n mi to 120 n mi for error was simulated; summary results are presented. A constant peripheral risk danger area formulation was devised and compared to the present danger area. This constant peripheral risk danger area, based on the probability of 30 kt winds, is recommended as an alternate to the Pacific Fleet danger area. Keywords: Tropical cyclones, Strike probability, Danger area, Condition-setting aid, Decision aid.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Dec 01, 1986
Accession Number
ADA179260

Entities

People

  • Jerry D. Jarrell

Organizations

  • Leidos

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Ground and Sea Platforms

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Classification
  • Contracts
  • Cyclones
  • Military Research
  • National Security
  • Naval Operations
  • Naval Warfare
  • Navy
  • New York
  • North Pacific Ocean
  • Oceans
  • Security
  • Tropical Cyclones
  • Uss America
  • Uss Constellation
  • Uss Kitty Hawk
  • Uss Nimitz

Fields of Study

  • Environmental science

Readers

  • Atmospheric Science/Meteorology
  • Life Cycle Cost Analysis
  • Systems Analysis and Design