Diffusion First Passage Times: Approximations and Related Differential Equations,

Abstract

This paper is primarily concerned with computing first passage time statistics. In previous work a general reliability model was proposed in which system failures occur when either system wear-and-tear reaches some maximum permissible level (ie, a first passage occurs), or when some killing event happens (such killing events occur with rate k(x) in state x). Under this model w(x,t) satisfies a certain equation: It is possible to solve for w(x,t) and related quantities with methods very similar to those presented here. In Section 2, algorithms for approximating w(x,t) are obtained. In particular, the infinite spectral expansion for w(x,t) is approximated by an n-term sub-expansion which matches the first n-1 moments. Section 2 concludes with some remarks about out preliminary computational experience. In Sections 3 and 4, methods are given for obtaining the eigenvalues and first passage moments, necessary for computing approximations to w(x,t). In Section 5, computational issues related to calculating the moment generating function are considered. Section 6 and 7 include theoretical complements about first passage times. In particular, the moment generating function is shown to possess an interesting representation having exponential form. This exponential representation is related to asymptotic expansions used in analyzing perturbations of certain second-order differential equations.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jan 01, 1986
Accession Number
ADA185592

Entities

People

  • Michael L. Wenocur

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • C4I
  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Boundary Value Problems
  • Brownian Motion
  • C Programming Language
  • Computational Fluid Dynamics
  • Computational Science
  • Computer Programming
  • Differential Equations
  • Eigenvalues
  • Eigenvectors
  • Equations
  • Gaussian Distributions
  • Method Of Moments
  • Military Research
  • New York
  • Programming Languages
  • Statistics
  • Stochastic Processes

Fields of Study

  • Mathematics

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  • Calculus or Mathematical Analysis
  • Mathematical Modeling and Probability Theory.
  • Military Logistics and Supply Chain Management