Prediction of Polytomous Events: Model Description, Algorithm Development and Methodological Aspects, with an Application.

Abstract

This article addresses the problem of predicting multi(more than two) category events. It describes a new approach (based on generalized linear models) which is natural extension of the technique of logistic regression (a method widely used for the prediction of dichotomous events). As an example, the method is applied to the prediction of tropical storm imminence, and the performance of the method is compared with that of alternative well-established techniques. Keywords: Meteorology; Weather forecasting.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Sep 01, 1987
Accession Number
ADA186549

Entities

People

  • Donald P. Gaver
  • I. G. O'muircheartaigh

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Algorithms
  • Computations
  • Delphi Method
  • Discriminant Analysis
  • Distribution Functions
  • Equations
  • Grids
  • Mathematics
  • Maximum Likelihood Estimation
  • Meteorology
  • Military Research
  • Operations Research
  • Probability
  • Research Facilities
  • Standards
  • Technical Information Centers
  • Weather Forecasting

Readers

  • Atmospheric Science/Meteorology
  • Regression Analysis.
  • Strategic Security Studies