State of the Art Contingency Analysis (SOTACA) Model Techniques

Abstract

The Conflict Analysis Center (CAC) of the US Army Concepts Analysis Agency's Strategy and Plans Directorate investigated the use of the State of the Art Contingency Analysis (SOTACA) Model as a tool to explore low intensity conflict (LIC) problems. SOTACA is being developed as part of the Modern Aids to Planning Program (MAPP) which is sponsored by the Organization of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. As such, it represents a model which will be provided to unified and specified commanders, some of whom are concerned with LIC issues/ problems. The purpose of this paper is to describe the ideas and techniques which emerged from CAC's initial use of the SOTACA Model. The generic scenario considered by CAC included the marshalling of appropriate forces, transporting them to some geographic location, moving them to an objective (infiltration), conducting actions on the objective, and withdrawing the forces (exfiltration). Force size was contemplated to vary from a few people organized as a team to upwards of a multibattalion task force. Sources of transportation might include aircraft, boats, vehicles, and foot movement in appropriate combinations. Operations were generally viewed to be characterized by stealthy infiltration, violent operations on the objective, and rapid exfiltration. Keywords: Iranian rescue missions.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Sep 01, 1987
Accession Number
ADA188052

Entities

People

  • Gerald J. Wilkes

Organizations

  • Center for Army Analysis

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Air Platforms
  • Human Systems
  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Air Force
  • Air Force Facilities
  • Aircrafts
  • Army Training
  • Attrition
  • Databases
  • Doctrine
  • Flight Paths
  • Military Science
  • Operations Research
  • Students
  • Task Forces
  • Transportation
  • United States
  • United States Military Academy
  • War Colleges
  • Warfare

Readers

  • East Asian Political and Security Studies within the Soviet Union
  • Joint Military Operations and Doctrine.
  • Maritime Security/Maritime Homeland Security