The Effects of Economic Conditions on Overall Air Force Officer Attrition.

Abstract

Air Force planners need to accurately predict officer losses in order to effectively control: the overall force size, promotion rates, augmentation and recruiting needs. Officer losses are influenced by a variety of behavioral and economic factors. This research identified the overall civilian unemployment rate as the major economic factor affecting Air Force officer losses. However, including the unemployment rate with the in system data (the number of separation/retirement applications already accepted) failed to increase the accuracy of the model currently used by Air Force. Recommendations are to further explore the cause of the serial correlation found in the time series data and to model the causal relationships that cause officers to leave the Air Force. Keywords: Military separation, Attrition.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Dec 01, 1987
Accession Number
ADA188842

Entities

People

  • Gary R. Grimes

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical
  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Air Force
  • Attrition
  • Data Analysis
  • Databases
  • Economic Analysis
  • Employment
  • Information Science
  • Literature Surveys
  • Management Personnel
  • Manpower
  • Military Personnel
  • Organizational Structure
  • Personnel Management
  • Plastic Explosives
  • Regression Analysis
  • Statistics
  • United States

Readers

  • Aerospace logistics and air mobility.
  • Naval Personnel Management