Projections of the Male Youth Population and Enlistment Propensity by Army Recruiting Battalion, 1980-1995
Abstract
This report provides estimates and projections of the number of 17- to 21-year-old males by race and Hispanic ethnicity in each Army recruiting battalion for the years 1980-1995. Additional estimates are provided by test score category (TSC) on the Armed Forces Qualification Test (AFQT), high school graduation status, and propensity to enlist in the Army specifically, and a more general propensity to enlist in any service. Population estimates and projections are also provided for Hispanic males aged 17 to 21 in each of 10 states. Findings include evidence of significant population declines in this age group, particularly during the 1980-1985 period. Hardest hit by population declines are the 1st (Northeast) and 4th (Midwest) recruiting brigades. While the overall youth population is declining, the Hispanic population is increasing in both size and proportion. An obstacle to recruiting more Hispanic, however, is that they are less likely to graduate from high school than either whites or blacks. With respect to Insular Puerto Ricans, the inability to speak English prevents many from passing the AFQT. Keywords: Demography, Population projections, Population estimates, Market segmentation, Census data, Minorities, Caucasians.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Oct 01, 1987
- Accession Number
- ADA192325
Entities
People
- Naomi Verdugo
- Roy D. Nord
Organizations
- U.S. Army Research Institute for the Behavioral and Social Sciences