Estimating Reliability with Discrete Growth Models.

Abstract

Determining the reliability of newly designed systems is one of the most important functions of the acquisition process in the military. Tracking the growth in reliability of a system as it is developed and modified repeatedly is an important part of the acquisition process. This thesis extends and expands a reliability growth simulation program written previously. It analyzes the capabilities and limitations of two discrete reliability growth models to determine which models are most applicable in estimating system reliability under a variety of different growth patterns. Negative growth patterns are also considered. The result ot this thesis is a FORTRAN simulation which enables a more accurate estimate of system reliability using test data generated during the development phase of an acquisition program. Keywords: Theses; Charts; Mathematical models. (Author)

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Mar 01, 1988
Accession Number
ADA193845

Entities

People

  • James D. Chandler Jr

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • C4I
  • Human Systems
  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Acquisition
  • Computations
  • Computer Programs
  • Computer Simulations
  • Computers
  • Equations
  • Failure Mode And Effect Analysis
  • Mathematical Models
  • Models
  • Operations Research
  • Phase
  • Reliability
  • Simulations
  • Standards
  • Statistics
  • Test And Evaluation
  • United States

Fields of Study

  • Engineering

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Life Cycle Cost Analysis