Coast Guard Drug Interdiction: A Renewal-Reward Approach to Determine Optimum Investigation Time.

Abstract

A renewal-reward model is developed to predict the optimum amount of time that Coast Guard personnel should spend investigating a vessel for illicit substances. The optimal investigation time is determined with respect to three criteria; maximizing the number of arrests, maximizing the quantity of drugs confiscated, and minimizing the quantity of drugs that escape detection. A simulation study indicates that the optimal investigation time is very sensitive to underlying distributional assumptions. The basic service system model may have wider application, i.e., to combat modelling, where it may be desirable to investigate a potential target to estimate its value before committing limited resources. An adaption of the model may also be of help in allocating resources for mineral exploration. Keywords: Theses, Drug trafficking.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Mar 01, 1988
Accession Number
ADA194341

Entities

People

  • Eric A. Copeland

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Ground and Sea Platforms

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • California
  • Classification
  • Coast Guard
  • Coast Guard Personnel
  • Computer Programs
  • Data Analysis
  • Distribution Functions
  • Drug Interdiction
  • Governments
  • Interdiction
  • Probability
  • Probability Distributions
  • Procedures (Computers)
  • Schools
  • Security
  • Simulations
  • United States

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