Feasibility Study on Determining the Effect of Testing on Harpoon Missile System Reliability.

Abstract

The effect of testing on the Harpoon Missile System reliability can be determined by the data retrieval and analyses described in this feasibility study. Emphasis is placed on five missile subassemblies including the guidance section, the guidance section's seeker, altimeter, and midcourse guidance unit, and the midcourse unit's attitude reference assembly, and digital computer/power supply. Extraneous effects on reliability including the several design and environment categories and the multiple types of testing performed on the missile subassemblies can be controlled or measured. A data retrieval plan prepared in cooperation with McDonnell-Douglas Astronautics Company would provide the data needed for the analysis. Statistical analysis methodology to estimate time-between-failure distributions and distribution parameters, and regression analysis with associated ANOVA can be used to relate the subassemblies' reliability characteristics to the cumulative item age, power on-off cycles, and power-on time. Subject to assumption of multicollinearity on the order of 70% to 90% correlation among these variables, changes in MTBF on the order of 30% to 50% could be detected in a pilot analysis program employing a population of 500 item histories. Such a pilot program would determine the degree of multicollinearity, and would provide reliability estimates for the missile subassemblies with much tighter error bars than those normally employed. (FR)

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jun 01, 1985
Accession Number
ADA195582

Entities

People

  • Edgar Oelkers
  • John J. Labra

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Computers
  • Data Analysis
  • Data Science
  • Digital Computers
  • Feasibility Studies
  • Guidance
  • Information Science
  • Measurement
  • Midcourse Guidance
  • Nondestructive Testing
  • Power Supplies
  • Probability Distributions
  • Random Variables
  • Regression Analysis
  • Statistical Analysis
  • Test And Evaluation
  • Test Equipment

Readers

  • Inertial Navigation Systems.
  • Naval Mine Countermeasure Systems Development.
  • Statistical inference.

Technology Areas

  • Space