Test of a Probabilistic Sampling Critical Task Selection Model for Performance Testing

Abstract

The Navy Job Performance Measurement Program is an outcome of the Navy Performance-Based Personnel Classification Subproject. Both efforts constitute significant contributions to the Joint-Service Job Performance Measurement/Enlistment Standards Project. The Joint-Service Project has been mandated by Congress to link enlistment standards to job performance, which can be considered a landmark research thrust of the armed services. This study tested a probabilistic sampling model for assessing the performance of Navy radiomen (RM). Five steps were involved: (1) a Monte Carlo investigation tested the effects of simulated alternate task weighting systems; (2) RM job experts determined the actual task weighting systems; (3) task samples were drawn; (4) experts screened the task samples; and (5) the final task sample was selected. Results indicated that the probabilistic sampling model was considerably influenced by the random luck of the draw. The results were not positively viewed by RM experts. Suggestions for probabilistic modifications are presented.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jan 01, 1988
Accession Number
ADA196015

Entities

People

  • Norman G. Peterson
  • Rodney L. Rosse
  • Steven E. Lammlein

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Classification
  • Employment
  • Enlisted Personnel
  • Expert Systems
  • Job Analysis
  • Management Personnel
  • Military Personnel
  • Performance Tests
  • Preventive Maintenance
  • Probabilistic Models
  • Probability
  • Probability Distributions
  • Psychology
  • Sampling
  • Statistical Samples
  • Statistical Sampling
  • Surveys

Readers

  • Instructional Design and Training Evaluation.
  • Military History of the United States in the 20th Century.
  • Statistical inference.