Predicting NIF (Navy Industrial Fund) Carryover at Public Works Centers

Abstract

The scope of this research was the development of a statistical model for forecasting fund carryover for a Navy Public Works Center. The model was developed using monthly historical data from FY 85 to FY 88 for the following variables: (1) funds received; (2) billings; (3) backlog; (4) work in place; and (5) carryover. Simple, multiple, and stepwise regression methods were applied. Also, an examination was performed on whether there might be a lagged relationship between the dependent and independent variables. This model can reliably forecast only up to three months in advance. Keywords: Navy industrial fund, Carryover, Backlog, Theses, Federal budgets, Financial management.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Dec 01, 1988
Accession Number
ADA206440

Entities

People

  • David L. Ricks

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Accounting
  • Business Administration
  • California
  • Civil Engineering
  • Contracts
  • Data Analysis
  • Department Of Defense
  • Engineering
  • Engineers
  • Federal Budgets
  • Maintenance
  • Organizational Structure
  • Personnel Management
  • Regression Analysis
  • Second World War
  • United States
  • United States Naval Academy

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Defense Financial Management and Audit.
  • Government Contracting/Procurement.