Air Logistics Early Requirements Technique (ALERT) FY92-97 Program Objective Memorandum (POM) Forecasts
Abstract
This report documents the 1988 application of the Air Logistics Early Requirements Technique (ALERT) for estimating the FY92-FY97 Program Objective Memorandum (POM) inputs for the Peacetime Operation Spares portion of the aircraft replenishment spares budget (BP15). This is the sixth consecutive year that ALERT has been used to prepare AFLC POM inputs to the Air Staff. ALERT's logic is a combination of statistical forecasts and management adjustments to these forecasts which yield the Command's total peacetime operating stock requirement for the POM period. The ALERT model has been used by the Air Force Logistics Command since 1984 to project the BP15 aircraft peacetime spares Program objective Memorandum (POM) requirement. ALERT performs a statistical analysis of historical data to forecast the BP15 Peacetime Operation Spares (POS) requirement by weapon system. The AFLC BP15 budget program managers review the statistical projections and make final adjustments. ALERT is the only BP15 POM forecasting approach sanctioned by the Air Staff. This report documents the development of the FY92-FY97 POM forecasts. ALERT uses 16 individual weapon system regression equations to develop each fiscal year's BP15 estimate by weapon system. These individual forecasts are then added together to develop the Air Force total BP15 POM forecast.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- May 01, 1989
- Accession Number
- ADA212043
Entities
People
- Adrienne Rexroad
- Larry Collins
- Rob Lucas