Slowdown in Soviet Defense Expenditures: Variation of a Suggested Model
Abstract
This thesis examined existing models that attempt to explain the decrease in the growth of Soviet defense expenditures. Two new models were also developed. The first used the mean of a high and low estimated dependent variable in the existing models, and the second added a different independent variable to the models. Likelihood ratios, chi-squared tests, and Chow tests were used in conjunction with the regression models to show a mid-70s change in Soviet leaders' attitudes toward defense needs. The major conclusion of this study was that there was a definite break in the regressions that indicated a change in Soviet defense policy. When all the variables were used, the models exhibited a post-break increase in the growth of Soviet defense expenditures instead of the expected decrease.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Jun 01, 1989
- Accession Number
- ADA212192
Entities
People
- Michael Fuzy Iii
Organizations
- Naval Postgraduate School