Why Stochastic Modeling is Essential in Analyzing Interdicted Transportation Network Performance

Abstract

In this thesis, we use simulation to study the probabilistic dynamics of a military road transportation network when the network is subjected to interdiction by aircraft. We consider several road interdiction schemes. The simulation results are compared to those obtained by using deterministic expected value optimization techniques. This latter approach has been used by other researchers in studies of interdictions of networks. We demonstrate, through the use of two realistic military examples, that the deterministic result poorly predict the performance of the stochastic systems and that the bias incurred by using deterministic methods is significant. Therefore, the stochastic model should be used in the real situation. (KR)

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jun 01, 1989
Accession Number
ADA213140

Entities

People

  • Choi Byung Kwon

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Air Platforms
  • Cyber
  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Aircrafts
  • Algorithms
  • California
  • Command And Control
  • Computer Programs
  • Computers
  • Construction
  • Engineering
  • Flow Network
  • Literature Surveys
  • Operations Research
  • Optimization
  • Random Number Generators
  • Random Variables
  • Simulations
  • Transportation
  • Vehicles

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Operations Research