Middle-Term Loss Prediction Models for the Air Force's Enlisted Force Management System

Abstract

This report specifies loss equations that were developed for the Air Force's Enlisted Force Management System (EFMS) to forecast enlisted losses during a period from one to seven years from the time of the forecast. These loss models provide an improved tool for personnel managers in the Air Force. The cohort models described here--where cohorts are defined based on an airman's position in his career--provide information about how airmen would respond to changes in economic conditions, military pay raises, and bonuses. Developed for the Air Force's Enlisted Force Management System, these models allow forecasts of the behavior of different demographic groups and people in different occupations. Keywords: Enlisted personnel; Air Force personnel; Attrition; Forecasting; Mathematical models. (SDW)

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Dec 01, 1987
Accession Number
ADA213279

Entities

People

  • Allan F. Abrahamse
  • Deborah L. Skoller
  • Grace M. Carter
  • Harvey Greenberg
  • Marygail K. Brauner
  • Michael P. Murray
  • R. Yilmaz Arguden

Organizations

  • RAND Corporation

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Administrative Personnel
  • Air Force
  • Air Force Personnel
  • Attrition
  • Birds
  • Business Administration
  • Computer Programming
  • Education
  • Employment
  • Enlisted Personnel
  • Management Personnel
  • Mechanical Equipment
  • Military Training
  • Organizational Structure
  • Personnel Management
  • Recruiting
  • Training

Readers

  • Aerospace logistics and air mobility.
  • Naval Personnel Management