A Strategic Planning Framework for Predicting and Evaluating Soviet Interests in Arms Control. Volume 1

Abstract

This report distinguishes between Soviet interest in (1) making arms control proposals; (2) negotiating arms control agreements; (3) signing arms control treaties; and (4) actually complying with agreements once signed. It suggests that four sets of factors condition Soviet arms control interests at each of these levels: (1) Soviet threat perceptions; (2) Soviet bargaining leverage; (3) Soviet leadership stability; and (4) Soviet foreign policy orientation. Specific reference is made to strategic nuclear arms control issues. Four conditions are identified as prerequisites for Soviet interest in reaching agreement on strategic arms reductions, thus providing a basis for policy forecasting.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Aug 01, 1988
Accession Number
ADA213715

Entities

People

  • Kerry M. Kartchner

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Counter WMD
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Arms Control
  • Arms Control Treaties
  • Cold War
  • Department Of State
  • Intergovernmental Organizations
  • International Law
  • International Organizations
  • International Relations
  • National Politics
  • National Security
  • Nuclear Weapons
  • Psychology
  • Strategic Defense Initiative
  • Strategic Weapons
  • Treaties
  • United States
  • War Colleges

Fields of Study

  • Political science

Readers

  • Military History / Militaries and War Studies
  • Nuclear Non-Proliferation and International Security
  • Robotics and Automation.