Pershing II Follow-On Test: Size Reduced by Sequential Analysis

Abstract

To replace the erroneous use of Fisher's Exact Test to derive the reliability of a missile system in annual tests, the author developed, in collaboration with statisticians, two efficient methods, both treated by frequentist and Bayesian methods. Particular attention is called to the Truncated Sequential Probability Ratio Test. Both methods gave essentially the same results, and so justified reduction in the size of the tests (for a given level of confidence) and therewith a reduction in the costs of the test program. The advantages of the Bayesian methods are given out. They are generally applicable for lot sampling and other uses of sequential tests. Keywords: Statistical tests reliability; Surface to surface missiles, Sequences mathematics, Sequential analysis, Truncated test, Bayesian statistics, Fisher's exact test.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Sep 30, 1984
Accession Number
ADA214143

Entities

People

  • Daniel Willard
  • Nozer D. Singpurwalla
  • Robert Launer

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • C4I
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Algorithms
  • Bayesian Networks
  • Computers
  • Data Science
  • Databases
  • Engineering
  • Information Science
  • Knowledge Management
  • Operations Research
  • Probability
  • Probability Distributions
  • Random Variables
  • Sequential Analysis
  • Statistical Algorithms
  • Statistical Analysis
  • Test And Evaluation
  • Theorems

Fields of Study

  • Mathematics

Readers

  • Aerospace Test and Evaluation
  • Statistical inference.

Technology Areas

  • AI & ML
  • AI & ML - Bayesian Inference