Graphical Analysis of the Sensitivities of ATCAL (Attrition Calibration) in the FORCEM (Force Evaluation Model) Model

Abstract

Verification and validation of computer simulations of large complex systems such as theater level combat operations is difficult at best. In practice, this is not a single event, but continues to occur throughout the life of the models involved. While the basic intent is to insure that the model is true to its design and that the design reasonably approximates reality, the effort also yields insight into model sensitivity and possible utility of information generated by the model. The purpose of this project is to analyze an attrition process in the context of its theater model. This thesis will examine sensitivity with respect to certain variables, to verify that the process, in this context, provides an intuitively appealing output, and to look for items which may be used as simple performance predictors in other aspects of the model. The process under investigation is the Attrition Calibration (ATCAL) process, used by the Army Concepts Analysis Agency (CAA) as the attrition mechanism in its theater-level models, Concepts Evaluation Model (CEM) and Force Evaluation Model (FORCEM).

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jun 01, 1989
Accession Number
ADA214605

Entities

People

  • Charles N. Betack

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Human Systems
  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Attrition
  • Chi Square Test
  • Classification
  • Combat Forces
  • Combat Operations
  • Combat Support
  • Computer Simulations
  • Data Analysis
  • Data Sets
  • Information Science
  • Losses
  • Operations Research
  • Schools
  • Statistical Analysis
  • United States
  • Weapon Systems
  • Weapons

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Joint Military Operations and Doctrine.