A Sample Reuse Method for Accurate Parametric Empirical Bayes Confidence Intervals

Abstract

Parametric empirical Bayes methods of point estimation for a vector of unknown parameters date to the landmark paper of James and Stein (1961). The usual approach is to use the mean of the estimated posterior distribution of each parameter, where the estimation of the prior parameters (hyperparameters) is accomplished through the marginal distribution of the data. While point estimates computed this way usually perform well, interval estimates based on the estimated posterior (called naive EB intervals) are not. They fail to account for the variability in the estimation of the hyperparameters, generally resulting in sub-nominal coverage probability in the EB sense defined in Morris (1983a). In this paper we extend the work of Carlin and Gelfand (1989), who proposed a conditional bias correction method for developing EB intervals which corrects the deficiencies in the naive intervals. We show how bias correction can be implemented in general via a Type III parametric bootstrap procedure, a sample reuse method first employed by Laird and Louis (1987).

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Nov 07, 1989
Accession Number
ADA216198

Entities

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  • Alan E. Gelfand
  • Bradley P. Carlin

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  • Stanford University

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  • Energy and Power Technologies

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  • Mathematics

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