Game-Structured Analysis as a Framework for Defense Planning
Abstract
Concepts and techniques are now emerging that could be a unifying influence for strategic analysis of NATO issues. These will make possible multiscenario analysis and the development and testing (through simulation) of complex strategies incorporating a diversity of ideas and capabilities, and reflecting recognition that operational strategy should be adaptive and multifaceted. It is possible that greater consensus will develop within the several analytic and strategic communities, and that this is in turn will influence policy. The author believes that a way to start would involve a NATO- wide professional association, with NATO sanction, that would seek to bring together special groups with the purpose of improving prospects for modeler- analysts (working at varied levels of detail), technologists, and strategies being able to speak in a common language and calibrate their assumptions. Subsequently, it would be useful to compare multiscenario balance assessments-- with the objective of seeing whether agreement can be reached on the complex strategies and sets of capabilities needed by NATO in the face of continuing threat and uncertainty. (edc)
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Mar 01, 1988
- Accession Number
- ADA216633
Entities
People
- Paul K. Davis
Organizations
- RAND Corporation