Forecasting 24 and 48 Hour Intensity Changes, for Northwestern Pacific Tropical Cyclones, Using Satellite Imagery

Abstract

Sixteen years of typhoon data were studied, in an effort to develop a technique for forecasting tropical cyclone intensity changes in the Northwestern Pacific. The data base provided average changes for 24 and 48 hour periods along with the average duration of each phase (intensifying and dissipating). Further study revealed that the upper-level outflow patterns provide a means to adjust these average changes so a more realistic forecast could be generated for the individual storms. Forecasts were further improved by studying how land and other environmental features effect the life cycle of tropical cyclones. Results from the research were compiled and incorporated into a series of flow charts. These charts were created to enable individuals to quickly determine future intensities of cyclones given the storm's history and a current satellite picture.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
May 01, 1989
Accession Number
ADA218174

Entities

People

  • Richard W. Hartman

Organizations

  • Air Force Institute of Technology

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Space

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Aerial Reconnaissance
  • Aircrafts
  • Airlift Operations
  • Artificial Satellites
  • Data Sets
  • Databases
  • Information Science
  • Life Cycles
  • Meteorological Satellites
  • Meteorology
  • Pacific Ocean
  • Reconnaissance
  • Reconnaissance Aircraft
  • Satellite Imaging
  • Sea Level
  • Standards
  • Statistical Tests

Fields of Study

  • Environmental science

Readers

  • Atmospheric Science / Meteorology, specifically Wind Wave Turbulence.
  • Business Analytics
  • Ocean-Atmosphere Mesoscale Modeling, Data Assimilation, and Flux Boundary Layers

Technology Areas

  • Space