Approximate Interval Estimation Methods for the Reliability of Systems Using Component Data with Exponential and Weibull Distributions

Abstract

Two approximate parametric interval estimation methods for reliability using component test data are developed and evaluated. One method can be applied to any coherent system with components which have exponential failure times with possibly different failure rates and different mission operating times. This method estimates the ratios of component failure rates which are then used to develop the approximate lower confidence limit. These ratio estimates are developed with and without jackknife methods and the two results are compared. This procedure is very accurate and simple to compute, requiring the use of standard chi-squared tables. This ratio method is subsequently extended to coherent systems with components whose failure times have a Weibull distribution. A nearly exact parametric lower confidence limit for P(X>x) is developed and evaluated where x is given and X has a normal distribution with unknown mean and variance. This procedure is also simple to evaluate and requires the use of Student t tables. Keywords: THESES; RELIABILITY; JACKKNIFE; CONFIDENCE LIMIT; EXPONENTIAL; WEIBULL-NEWTON-RAPHSON.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Sep 01, 1989
Accession Number
ADA219857

Entities

People

  • Hyeon-soo Lee

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

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DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Algorithms
  • Computational Science
  • Computer Simulations
  • Computers
  • Confidence Limits
  • Data Science
  • Estimators
  • Information Science
  • Language
  • Normal Distribution
  • Probability
  • Programming Languages
  • Reliability
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  • Standards
  • Statistical Algorithms
  • Statistics

Fields of Study

  • Mathematics

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  • Regression Analysis.