Forecaster, A Markovian Model to Analyze the Distribution of Naval Officers

Abstract

A mathematical model is described for forecasting the distribution of officers in a Navy officer community at some future point in time. The distribution is in terms of activity types and four numbers. The activity types stand for a categorization of the kind of billets Navy officers may occupy on successive tours of duty, such as sea and shore billets. The specific method of categorization is dictated by the community modeled and the purpose of the analysis. The emphasis here is on the mathematical derivation, although a numerical application is also included. (sdw)

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Apr 04, 1990
Accession Number
ADA221670

Entities

People

  • Paul R. Milch

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Communities
  • Computations
  • Computers
  • Delphi Method
  • Education
  • Engineering
  • Industrial Engineering
  • Mainframe Computers
  • Markov Chains
  • Markov Processes
  • Mathematical Models
  • Military Education
  • Military Personnel
  • Models
  • Operations Research
  • Personal Computers
  • Probability

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Personnel Management and Statistics in the Military and Department of Defense
  • Systems Analysis and Design