Lanchester's Square Law in Theory and Practice

Abstract

This monograph conducts a statistical analysis of the National Training Center engagement data to determine to what extent that training adheres to the square law. The monograph discusses the theory of the square law, summarizes the findings of previous verification attempts, discusses the National Training Center as a laboratory for this analysis, presents the results of the statistical analysis and suggests that an exponential law is more appropriate. A discussion follows centered around the reason for this gap between theory and practice. The monograph discusses the problem of suppression as the missing link in the square law. The conclusion drawn is that whenever combat simulations are used, those simulations should account for the problem of suppression or else the results will be distorted. Furthermore, it appears that if combat follows an exponential law then the National Training Center training may come closer to combat than the US Army thinks. Keywords: Lanchester's equations, Suppression, Marine engineers, Theory.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Nov 27, 1989
Accession Number
ADA225484

Entities

People

  • Ronald L. Johnson

Organizations

  • United States Army Command and General Staff College

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Ground and Sea Platforms
  • Human Systems
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Attrition
  • Battles
  • Casualties
  • Civil War
  • Computer Simulations
  • Contingency Operations (Military)
  • Equations
  • Lanchester Equations
  • Mathematical Models
  • Military Operations
  • Models
  • Operations Research
  • Regression Analysis
  • Second World War
  • Social Sciences
  • Statistical Analysis
  • Warfare

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Government and Public Administration Law.
  • Military History / Militaries and War Studies