The Moments of Matched and Mismatched Hidden Markov Models

Abstract

An algorithm for computing the moments of matched and mismatched hidden Markov models from their defining parameters is presented. The ability of the first two moments to adequately describe the probability density function of a maximum posterior likelihood classifier based on hidden Markov models is assessed by examples. These examples include ergodic and nonergodic simulated hidden Markov observations that are matched and mismatched with the posterior likelihood classifier. One example discusses the effect of a noisy discrete communication channel on the posterior likelihood classifier reliability. The examples indicate that the posterior likelihood function is log-normal when the Markov chains are ergodic, and thus the first two moments suffice to describe the required probability density functions. The examples are also of independent interest because they indicate how different internal structures of hidden Markov models impact the performance of a maximum posterior likelihood classifier. Keywords: Statistical models, Sonar, Nonstationary time, sense or signals, Speech applications, Word recognition.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jun 11, 1987
Accession Number
ADA228892

Entities

People

  • Roy L. Streit

Organizations

  • Naval Underwater Systems Center

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Ground and Sea Platforms

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Algorithms
  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Computational Science
  • Distribution Functions
  • Hidden Markov Models
  • Machine Learning
  • Markov Chains
  • Markov Models
  • Markov Processes
  • Normal Distribution
  • Probability
  • Probability Density Functions
  • Random Variables
  • Security
  • Simulations
  • Standards
  • Word Recognition

Fields of Study

  • Engineering

Readers

  • Adaptive Control and Estimation with Uncertainty in Dynamic Systems.
  • Speech Processing/Speech Recognition.
  • Statistical inference.