The Net Impact of 'Other Variables' on Negotiated Profit for Department of Defense Contracts

Abstract

The objective of this thesis is to determine if profits negotiated on DOD contracts are a direct result of the Weighted Guidelines Profit Analysis Method, or if 'Other Variables' has a net impact. A model is proposed for the defense profit process consisting of six steps from policy formulation to the effect of defense profit policy on the defense industrial base. The thesis then focuses on the portion of the model which describes the step from weighted guidelines and negotiated profit: (1) The 'Actual Process' which includes the 'Other Variables' and (2) the 'Theoretical Process' which does not. Results are measured using the profit 'Z' score which represents the number of standard deviations that separate negotiated profit from the mean of the distribution of all possible profits. The Theoretical Process assumed that weighted guidelines profit factor values are applied to negotiated costs. Using the DFAR definition of normal profit factor values, the average of all individual contract profit 'Z' scores should equal zero. The Actual Process is represented by FY 89 negotiated profits and is assumed to include all factors which impact these profits. The Actual Process is measured using the average of all Z scores calculated from individual FY89 contracts. Keywords: Theses; Department/defense; Weighting functions; Economic analysis; Contracts/profits/negotiations.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Sep 01, 1990
Accession Number
ADA229543

Entities

People

  • Gerard R. Cavallo

Organizations

  • Air Force Institute of Technology

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  • Human Systems

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  • Approximation Theory.
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  • Government Contracting/Procurement.