The Dynamic Structure of Navy Research and Development Budgets: A Time-Series Analysis

Abstract

This paper investigates the dynamic nature of the Navy's R&D budget by examining the Navy's budget in the aggregate and by functional activity (i.e. manpower, operation and maintenance, procurement, and research and development). Qualitative conclusions about trends in each functional area are made using constant-dollar plots for the period 1955-88. The percentage of the aggregate DON budget that is allotted to R&D has been remarkably constant at 10 percent over the last 30 years. A forecast for the R&D budget percentage is made for the next 5 years using statistical techniques. Thus, independent forecasts of the aggregate DON budget can be used to generate alternative R&D budget forecasts.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jun 01, 1990
Accession Number
ADA230905

Entities

People

  • Edward S. Cavin
  • William W. Davis

Organizations

  • Center for Naval Analyses

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Active Duty
  • Autocorrelation
  • Budgets
  • Business Administration
  • Confidence Limits
  • Data Science
  • Delphi Method
  • Economic Models
  • Information Science
  • Investments
  • Knowledge Management
  • Procurement
  • Standards
  • Statistical Analysis
  • Statistics
  • Time Series Analysis
  • Virginia

Readers

  • Life Cycle Cost Analysis
  • Regression Analysis.