Evolution of Modern Battle: An Analysis of Historical Data

Abstract

This monograph conducts an analysis of historical data to detect trends in war and the evolution to modern tactical battle. It also investigates the continued use of Lanchester-based attrition models. Military analysts have used the attrition models of Lanchester in an attempt to capture the dynamics of modern battle to answer questions for tactical and strategic decisionmakers. These questions involve technical evaluations of weapon systems, force structure, doctrinal issues, and training. The evolution of modern battle is marked by quantitative difference as measured by the casualty to initial force ratio. There is a trend toward decreasing ratios that coincides with the post- American Civil War period. The five technological innovations of the nineteenth century: rifled muskets, breechloaders, magazines, barbed wire, and smokeless powder were the catalysts of change in the tactical conduct of warfare. The lethality of the new weapons with their increased accuracy and range combined with the substantial increase in rates of fire forced the change in battlefield tactics.

Open PDF

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Dec 27, 1990
Accession Number
ADA233235

Entities

People

  • Charles D. Allen

Organizations

  • United States Army Command and General Staff College

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Human Systems
  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Artillery
  • Attrition
  • Civil War
  • Civil War (United States)
  • Computer Simulations
  • Data Sets
  • Lanchester Equations
  • Mathematical Analysis
  • Mathematical Models
  • Military Planning
  • New York
  • Operations Research
  • Regression Analysis
  • Statistical Analysis
  • Statistics
  • Task Forces
  • Warfare

Readers

  • Maritime Combat Support and Expeditionary Logistics.
  • Military History of the United States in the 20th Century.
  • Military Science