Variation of Historical Casualty Rates with Battle Dates

Abstract

This document is the final report on a study of the variation of historical casualty rates with battle dates. Considerable disagreement exists regarding the relevance of historical casualty rates in planning for future battles because of the impact of technological advances. This study was designed to determine if technological advances have any significant relationship with casualty rates by statistically analyzing historical casualty rates over time from the period of 1937 - 1983. Hypothesis tests were performed to measure if a significant relationship exists between historical battle dates from 1937 - 1983; if there is a significant difference among casualty rates across different decades; and if there is a significant difference among casualty rates across different conflicts. Findings are based on an extensive statistical analysis of casualty rates and battle dates derived from the HERO database. The conclusions offer an insight into considering the relevance of historical casualty rates as a predictor of future casualty rates, despite recent technological advances, within a conventional land battle scenario.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Dec 01, 1990
Accession Number
ADA235876

Entities

People

  • Cathy J. Arebalo

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Human Systems
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Battles
  • Casualties
  • Combat Effectiveness
  • Data Science
  • Databases
  • Goodness Of Fit Tests
  • Information Science
  • Korean War
  • Logistics Management
  • Military Operations
  • Normal Distribution
  • Second World War
  • Statistical Analysis
  • Statistical Tests
  • Statistics
  • Training
  • Warfare

Readers

  • Mathematics or Statistics
  • Military History / Militaries and War Studies
  • Women's Health and Cancer Risk Research: African American Women and Pregnancy Outcomes.